Here is an estimated UTV time map we created.. I wonder how close we will be to this??
How did you come up with these times? I ask because we are guesstimating the UTV's will leave the starting line close to 3pm. You show the UTV's coming though Check Point 5 (MM 550) at 1:15am. That is 10 hours after taking the green flag. That is a 55mph average! Your timing seems to show them averaging just about 50-55mph the whole way.
My guess was we see the first UTV's through check 5 around sun rise which is around 6am. Even at that your looking at a 39mph average. A single bottle neck, stuck in a silt bed or any mechanical issues in the dark and you can tack on several hours.
You cant compare this years Baja 500 to this years Baja 1000. Besides the fact the 1000 course uses very little of what was used in the 500. The biggest obstacle early on is that you are racing in the dark only a few hours in from starting the race. You will not see Check Point 1 in the daylight.
I'm going to guess the average speed for the winning UTV is in the low to mid 30's. I have been wrong before, but I think averaging anything over 40 is going to be really tough. Like I mentioned in a previous post. I think the Check Point time limits are going to a huge factor in this race. Lets hope at the drivers meeting they announce that they are extending the overall time limit and extending a few check point times.